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Drought or Aridification? Water Future of the Colorado River Basin

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Good morning!

I’m Lacy McKay.

and it’s Water Wednesdays on KSJD’s Outdoor Report.

The Colorado River Basin has long faced drought, but experts are now asking: are we in a temporary dry spell — or something more permanent?

While drought typically implies conditions will return to normal, “aridification” means a lasting shift toward a drier climate.

In the Basin, defining “normal” is complicated by size, landscape, and variability.

Tree-ring data suggests today’s drought may still fall within historical patterns, but if it continues, it could become the most severe in over 1,200 years.

Climate models predict a warmer future, with more dry days and intense storms, impacting how water moves through the system.

That poses challenges for the reservoirs we rely on to manage water supply.

While scientists use tools like the U.S. Drought Monitor to assess short-term conditions, there’s growing concern that long-term aridification could reshape water planning across the West permanently.

That’s the KSJD Outdoor Report for today.

And remember, water is life here in the Four Corners, and is a resource we all share.

LP recently moved to the Four Corners from Austin, Texas, where they worked as a Case Manager for people with intellectual and developmental disabilities, and in HOA property management where they were fortunate to learn many different styles of communication and creative thinking/problem solving. In their time away from work, they watch a ton of movies (spanning all decades, nationalities, and genres), and tries to listen to one really good album every day.
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